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High-Reliability 1
The Self-Designing High-Reliability Organization:
Aircraft Carrier Flight Operations at Sea
Part 4 of 4
Notes
- See, for example, Charles Perrow, Normal Accidents (New York: Basic Books,
1984).
- Examples that have attracted recent attention include Bhopal, Séveso, Three-Mile
Island, and Chernobyl. All four meet Perrow's criteria for coupling, response
time, and complexity. The essence of a "normal" accident is that the
potentiality inheres in the design of the system and, despite attempts to fix
"blame," is not primarily the result of individual misbehavior, malfeasance, or
negligence.
- By comparison, civil air traffic controllers deliberately stay far away from the
edge. Fixed rules such as maintaining five-mile intervals are designed to err
broadly in the direction of safety. Moreover, the turnover rate for controllers
is relatively low (barring extraordinary events such as the recent [1981]
strike); even equipment changes are few and far between.
- From this point we refer to carrier personnel as "men," since as yet the Navy
does not allow women to serve aboard combat vessels.
- We have followed both the USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70) and the
USS Enterprise (CVN
65), under a total of four different captains, through their training and workup
from Alameda and San Diego, California, and across the Pacific into the South
China Sea. In addition, one of us (Roberts) has been able to observe the initial
sea trials of the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71).
- In formal organizational terms, we refer to this as "decomposability." The basic
notion was introduced by Herbert A. Simon in "The Architecture of Complexity,"
Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society, December 1962, pp. 467--82,
reprinted in Herbert A. Simon, The Sciences of the Artificial (Cambridge, Mass.:
The MIT Press, 1981).
- During our interviews, one senior officer on a flag staff suggested that the
several different functional and hierarchical modes of organization might be
viewed as a set of "overlays" that are superimposed upon the formal organization
at different times, depending upon the task or circumstance at hand. Many of the
officers must shift roles numerous times during the course of a single active
day of flight operations.
- The few examples that come to mind are large construction projects, e.g.,
nuclear power plants, the Alaskan pipeline, etc. However, these usually have
considerable oversight from a separate firm whose sole task is to coordinate and
schedule the work properly.
- This point was brought home sharply by the effort to bring up the ZOG computer
system on the USS Carl Vinson, which would have required that almost complete
knowledge about all details of ship operations be known and entered if the
system were to function as originally intended. In retrospect, this can be seen
as a near-impossible requirement without the mounting of a considerable special
effort to collect and organize the data.
- Furthermore, a strong captain is capable of altering both the character of a
ship and the way it operates, if he so chooses.
- Given the size of modern jet aircraft and the number carried at full load, the
matter of spotting is far from trivial. Inefficient spotting can greatly reduce
the ability to move aircraft about quickly. Incorrect spotting can lead to
serious interference with operations, or even to a "locked" deck, on which it
becomes impossible to move aircraft at all. In a trial using the deck model in
Flight Deck Control, one of us managed to lock the deck so thoroughly that an
aircraft would have had to be pushed over the side to free the deck.
- Some nonfunctional variations are being reduced. For example, all LSO platforms
will soon be located at the same level and position relative to the arresting
gear wires. However, it is nearly impossible to upgrade all of the ships at once
when new equipment is introduced; therefore, each is at a different stage of
modification and upgrade at any given point in time.
- To some extent this situation is improving. Landing Signal Officers (LSOs), for
example, now work with simulators. Although this is no substitute for experience
when "eyeball" judgment is concerned, it helps.
- As one senior chief remarked to us: " You have to know it, but it rarely helps
when you really need it."
- Roger Evered, "The Language of Organizations: The Case of the Navy," in Louis R.
Pondy et al., eds., Organizational Symbolism (Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press,
1983), pp. 125--44.
- A very few stay on one ship for many years, but such "plankowners" are rare in
the modern Navy.
- For example, the first crew was unable to spot the deck effectively; Flight Deck
Control had been laid out with the deck model at right angles to the flight deck
axis, interfering with spatial visualization and obstructing the Aircraft
Handling Officer's direct view of the deck from his only window.
- The recent grounding of the USS Enterprise on Bishop Rock off San Diego may have
been at least partially due to her participation in a difficult exercise
combining the elements of what were usually two exercises. The effect on ship's
morale was very visible. See Karlene H. Roberts, "Bishop Rock Dead Ahead: The
Grounding of USS Enterprise," submitted to U.S. Naval Institute
Proceedings.
[Editors' note: To the best of our knowledge, this paper did not appear in
Proceedings.]
- Lewis Sorley, "Prevailing Criteria: A Critique," in Sam C. Sarkesian, ed.,
Combat Effectiveness (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage, 1980), pp. 57--93.
- L. R. Giguet, "Coordinating Army Personnel Agencies Using Living Systems Theory:
An Example," U.S. Army TRADOC, 1979, as quoted by Sorley at pp. 76--7.
- The term "proficiency" is used in the special sense of Hubert L. Dreyfus and
Stuart E. Dreyfus, Mind over Machine (New York: Free Press, 1986), who classify
five steps of skill acquisition: novice, advanced beginner, competence,
proficiency, and expertise. For most officers, mastery of a specific assignment
means at most the acquisition of proficiency--the ability to identify situations
and act upon them without having to systematically think through the procedural
steps involved. The most advanced stage, expertise, involves moving past
"problem solving" to "intuition" in decision making. Examples of relevance here
include the flying skills of experienced pilots and the specific expertise of
senior chief petty officers--in each case representing many years of continuous
practice of a small range of specific skills.
- We have observed several mechanisms used by the Navy to prevent such loss,
including incentives for reporting successful innovation and formal procedures
for their dissemination. The most general mechanism, however, is the informal
dissemination of information by the movement of personnel, and through those
responsible for refresher and other forms of at-sea training. A most remarkable
combination of trainers and active personnel is the recently formed Association
of Air Bos'ns, which holds annual meetings where information is exchanged and
formal papers are presented.
- Often, officers near the end of their tours, with new assignments in hand, are
also trying to learn as much as they can about their future tasks and
responsibilities.
- K. Weick, "The Role of Interpretation in High Reliability Systems,"
California
Management Review, vol. 39, 1987, pp. 112--27.
- Roberts observes that similar rules would operate to similar advantage on the
navigation bridge, which of necessity operates under more formal and traditional
rules.
- Even when fitness report ratings are based solely on merit, they are necessarily
subjective to some degree. It is inherently difficult to compare ratings taken
on different ships, in different peer groups, by different superiors, even under
the best of circumstances. But the general opinion among those we have
interviewed is that direct abuses of the system are relatively rare. As with all
hierarchical organizations, politics will begin to enter as one moves to higher
rank, but it is thought to be a minor factor below the level of captain.
- We note that the kinds of redundancy required to assure continued effectiveness
in combat--e.g., in situations where physical damage to ship or command chains
is anticipated--are qualitatively different from redundancy directed primarily
to assuring the performance of safety-critical tasks. Elements of the former,
however, are often major contributors to the latter.
- Martin Landau, "Redundancy, Rationality and the Problem of Duplication and
Overlap," Public Administration Review, November--December 1973, pp. 316--51.
- In this context, we note that the tempo and character of U.S. carrier operations
are so qualitatively different from those of other navies--including the French,
British, and prospective Russian--that the envelope itself can only be measured
by our own expectations and capabilities.
- The engines are in different compartments and are hand-set by separate operating
teams so that collective failures in setting can only occur at the command
level, i.e., in the tower, where a number of other independent measures for
cross-checking and redundancy are in place.
- During heavy flight operations there may be anywhere from six hundred to a
thousand settings of the engines in a single day. A typical deployment will have
eight to ten thousand arrested landings ("traps"), involving thirty to forty
thousand settings over a six-to-eight-month period.
- Although the probabilities are low, the possibility does exist. A minor error
may simply result in too much runout, cable damage, or some damage to the
aircraft. But an engine set for too heavy a weight can pull a tailhook out,
leading to aircraft loss; setting for too low an aircraft weight can result in
its "trickling" over the end of the angled deck and into the sea. Experienced
air bos'ns and chiefs estimate that perhaps six or seven such serious errors
have occurred throughout the entire U.S. fleet over the past twenty years. Our
estimate for the rate of uncorrected wrong settings with serious consequences is
therefore about one in a million--roughly comparable to the probability of a
mid-air collision in a domestic commercial airline flight. Setting errors that
are corrected are "nonreportable" incidents and therefore not documented. We
also note that on the USS Carl Vinson, a much newer ship with a still unbroken
memory, no reportable incident of any kind could be recalled in the first
seventy thousand traps since its commissioning.
- Allan W. Lerner, "There Is More Than One Way to Be Redundant,"
Administration &
Society, November 1986, pp. 334--59.
- This was brought home to us during a general quarters drill in which the bridge
took simulated casualties.
- During the period of observation, CDC was also the center for fighting the
battle group, a task that will be increasingly supervised by the new Tactical
Flag Command Centers (TFCC) as they are installed. Depending upon the physical
arrangement of the ship, the CDC area contains the Combat Information Center (CIC),
antiair warfare control consoles, and perhaps air operations and carrier air
traffic control center (CATCC); other warfare modules, such as those for
antisubmarine or antisurface warfare, may also be included or be in physically
adjacent spaces.
- For example, control of fighter aircraft can be done from the carrier, from an
E-2 [airborne early warning aircraft], or from one of several other ships in the
group.
- Evered lists qualities of "responsiveness to authority," "being ready," "can
do," and "not fazed by sudden contingencies" as among the more "obvious"
character traits of naval officer culture. These are transmitted by training
programs, ceremonies, and historical models. The latter is particularly
important for the "can do" aspect of the officer culture.
- Not only are the ship and its air wing parted, but the wing itself is split into
component squadrons that train under different functional commands.
- No definite name for this thousand-foot-plus, angled-deck, sixty to
seventy-thousand-ton nuclear-powered carrier has been ascertained at this time.
[Editors' note: The year after this article was published, what would have
become the Soviet Union's first nuclear-powered carrier, Ulyanovsk, was laid
down at the Nikolaev yard in the Crimea (but was never completed). Two
conventionally powered carriers of a new class with approximately the dimensions
mentioned were, however, fitting out in the Black Sea at the time:
Tbilisi--later Leonid Brezhnev, now
Admiral Flota Sovietskogo Soyuza Kuznetsov--and
Riga (thereafter Varyag).]
- See Bruce W. Watson and Susan M. Watson, The Soviet Navy: Strengths and
Liabilities (Boulder, Colo.: Westview, 1986).
- Although it is currently believed that arresting gear and catapults will be
fitted--and the deck mock-up at Saki airfield in the Crimea is so
equipped--ski-ramps for a total loading of sixty to seventy
short-takeoff-and-landing aircraft appear more likely in the short term, with
possible future retrofit of catapults into pre-existing deck slots at some
future date. See, for example, Norman Polmar, Guide to the Soviet Navy, 4th ed.
(Annapolis, Md.: Naval Institute Press, 1986), pp. 164--5.
- As a group, we doubt they will be able to approach the operating conditions and
efficiency of U.S. carriers in this century, if at all, even if they master the
associated naval and aircraft technologies.
*The first U.S. Navy aircraft carrier, commissioned as CV 1 (after conversion
from a collier) in 1922. Langley was sunk by the Japanese in 1942. [Return]
†Naval Air Training and Operation Procedures Standardization.
‡Petty officers, the middle ranks of U.S. Navy enlisted personnel, specializing
in a "rate" (such as Aviation Boatswain's Mate). "CPOs," or chief
petty officers, occupy the three highest enlisted pay grades (aside from
Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy).
§Located
in the island structure, and on the flight deck, respectively.
At the time of publication, Professor Rochlin was
adjunct professor of energy and resources and a research political scientist
at the Institute of Governmental Studies, University of California,
Berkeley. At the time of publication, Professor La Porte was professor of
political science and associate director of the Institute of Governmental
Studies, University of California, Berkeley. At the time of publication,
Professor Roberts, an organizational psychologist, was professor of business
administration at the University of California, Berkeley.
This article was originally published in the Autumn 1987 issue of
Naval War
College Review. Reproduced by GovLeaders.org with the kind
permission of the publisher.
Copyright
©1987 Naval War College Review.
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